Signal: a day closes above the coin's highest close of the previous 55 days.
Entry: that day's closing price. Daily candles close at 00:00 UTC. A signal is only real once the day has closed.
Stop: the lowest close of the 20 days before the signal. It is a real order sitting in the market, and it is usually far away (20–30% on average), which is why the position has to be small.
Target: entry plus the stop distance multiplied by the style you picked. "R" means one stop distance: +1R is a gain equal to what you risked.
Position size: your account × risk % ÷ the stop distance %. With a 25% stop and 1% risk the position is 4% of the account. No leverage is needed.
Bitcoin filter: a signal only counts on a day Bitcoin closes above its own 200-day average. Since 2022 the signals this filter rejects won 47% and lost money; the ones it keeps won 65%. When Bitcoin is below the average there will be no new signals at all, sometimes for months (all of 2022).
US stocks: the same rule on 40 large US stocks and 12 index funds, tested from 2005. Their signals appear after the US close (about 21:00 UTC, weekdays) and prices on those cards update at each scan, not every second. About half of the stock result comes from the stock market's own long rise; random entry days made +0.12R against +0.23R for breakout days. The 40 stocks are today's giants, which is hindsight. Stops are closer (about 10%), so positions are larger: about 10% of the account at 1% risk.
Dip rule (its own tab): a US stock or fund that is above its 200-day average closes below its lower band (20-day average minus 2 standard deviations). On a day when the whole market is down (the S&P 500 more than 1.5 standard deviations below its own 20-day average) a smaller dip of 1 standard deviation also counts. Entry is that close. The stop is 3 average daily ranges below, about 7%. The exit is the first later daily close above the 20-day average, or 20 trading days. Tested on 583 stocks and funds from 2005; the figures are at the top of the dip tab. Winners are smaller than losers, and about 1 trade in 4 hits the full stop. Signals come in bursts: about a third of days have none, and on a market-wide dip day there can be hundreds. The single-company list is today's S&P 500, which is hindsight.
Market-wide and stock-only dips: the same dip signal did better when the whole market was down with the stock: 72% won, averaging +1.1% of the position from 2016 on. When only the stock was falling and the market was not, 64% won and the average was +0.4%. Market-wide dip days are about 1 day in 8, with dozens of signals each, so an account limited to 10 positions can take only a few of them. A further variant with the stop 5 ranges away won 75% but loses about 11% of the position when it fails; it is in the test files, not on this page.
MEXC: a card marked MEXC means that stock is listed there as a perpetual futures contract. The test used real stock closing prices with no leverage. A futures contract adds funding payments, its own price, and liquidation if leverage is used; none of that was tested.
One plan at a time per coin: as in the test, a coin gets a new plan only on a breakout day that comes after its previous plan has finished.
Late entries: the test bought at the signal day's close. If price has since moved more than a quarter of the stop distance above entry, the card says so, because that is no longer the trade that was tested.
The scanner follows the 40 most heavily traded coins. The rule was tested on 380: it held up on large coins and failed on small ones (about zero since 2022, a loss since 2024), so small coins are left out. The 40 were picked by today's trading volume, which is hindsight and flatters the numbers a little.
Since 2022 the edge is much thinner than before (about a third of the long-run average). Expect long flat stretches.
Signals arrive in clusters, because coins move together. Ten open plans are not ten independent bets; a market drop can stop most of them at once.
Only coins that still trade today were tested. Dead coins are missing, which makes every number here look better than it was.
Prices: Binance spot for crypto; Yahoo Finance daily data for US stocks (updated at each scan, not live). This page places no trades and is not financial advice. It shows the levels a tested rule produces; whether to act on them, and with how much, is your decision. Past results do not guarantee future results.